Bitcoin fear and greed index (@bitcoinfear) · twitter

Each day, we analyze emotions và sentiments from different sources and crunch them inlớn one simple number: The Fear và Greed Index for Bitcoin and other large cryptocurrencies.

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This is a plot of the Fear & Greed Index over time, where a value of 0 means "Extreme Fear" while a value of 100 represents "Extreme Greed".

Why Measure Fear & Greed?

The crypkhổng lồ market behaviour is very emotional. People tkết thúc khổng lồ get greedy when the market is rising which results in FOMO (Fear of missing out). Also, people often sell their coins in irrational reaction of seeing red numbers. With our Fear & Greed Index, we try to save sầu you from your own emotional overreactions. There are two simple assumptions:

Extreme fear can be a sign that investors are too worried. That could be a buying opportunity. When Investors are getting too greedy, that means the market is due for a correction.

Therefore, we analyze the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market và crunch the numbers inkhổng lồ a simple meter from 0 lớn 100. Zero means "Extreme Fear", while 100 means "Extreme Greed". See below for further information on our data sources.

Data Sources

">We are gathering data from the five sầu following sources. Each data point is valued the same as the day before in order to visualize a meaningful progress in sentiment change of the crypkhổng lồ market.

First of all, the current index is for bitcoin only (we offer separate indices for large text coins soon), because a big part of it is the volatility of the coin price.

But let’s list all the different factors we’re including in the current index:

Volatility (25 %)

We’re measuring the current volatility and max. drawdowns of bitcoin và compare it with the corresponding average values of the last 30 days và 90 days. We argue that an unusual rise in volatility is a sign of a fearful market.

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Market Momentum/Volume (25%)

Also, we’re measuring the current volume and market momentum (again in comparison with the last 30/90 day average values) và put those two values together. Generally, when we see high buying volumes in a positive market on a daily basis, we conclude that the market acts overly greedy / too bullish.

Social Media (15%)

While our reddit sentiment analysis is still not in the live index (we’re still experimenting some market-related key words in the text processing algorithm), our twitter analysis is running. There, we gather and count posts on various hashtags for each coin (publicly, we show only those for Bitcoin) and check how fast và how many interactions they receive sầu in certain time frames). A unusual high interaction rate results in a grown public interest in the coin và in our eyes, corresponds khổng lồ a greedy market behaviour.

Surveys (15%) currently paused

Together with (disclaimer: we own this site, too), quite a large public polling platform, we’re conducting weekly cryplớn polls and ask people how they see the market. Usually, we’re seeing 2,000 - 3,000 votes on each poll, so we bởi vì get a picture of the sentiment of a group of crypto lớn investors. We don’t give those results too much attention, but it was quite useful in the beginning of our studies. You can see some recent results here.

Dominance (10%)

The dominance of a coin resembles the market cap cốt truyện of the whole crypto market. Especially for Bitcoin, we think that a rise in Bitcoin dominance is caused by a fear of (và thus a reduction of) too speculative sầu alt-coin investments, since Bitcoin is becoming more and more the safe haven of cryplớn. On the other side, when Bitcoin dominance shrinks, people are getting more greedy by investing in more risky alt-coins, dreaming of their chance in next big bull run. Anyhow, analyzing the dominance for a coin other than Bitcoin, you could argue the other way round, since more interest in an alt-coin may conclude a bullish/greedy behaviour for that specific coin.

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Trends (10%)

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